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Weekly Basis 9/1/24

It's our weekly US grain market prices analysis and outlook for corn, soybeans and wheat.


Dow Jones Industrial Average Index settled at 41,563, +388.00 points for the week.

Crude oil settled at $73.65, -1.31.

Dollar Index settled at 101.73, +1.05.

Baltic Dry Index (a shipping freight-cost index) settled at 1,814, +52 for the week.

 

Corn


December futures at $4.01, +10¢ for the week.


Basis (U = Sept; e.g. 10U means 10¢ over September futures) (Futures price + Basis = Cash price)

  • The US national average basis is -11U, 2¢ firmer.

  • Dayton, Ohio Cargill’s spot basis is -45Z, 6¢ firmer, $3.56 cash price.

  • Iowa Falls Poet’s spot basis is 8Z, 6¢ firmer, $4.09 cash price.


COT Report (Commitment of Traders, chart below)

  • Commercial Traders change is -32,525 to 17,856 net short from net long last week (bought 162.625 mil. bu. more of physical grain than sold).

  • Big Spec Funds change is +15,988 to 241,908 net short.

  • Open Interest change is -227,921 to 1,777,126.


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